International Journal of Statistics and Applications
p-ISSN: 2168-5193 e-ISSN: 2168-5215
2025; 15(2): 29-39
doi:10.5923/j.statistics.20251502.01
Received: Nov. 19, 2025; Accepted: Dec. 10, 2025; Published: Dec. 13, 2025

Loveday Acheseinimie Acheseinimie1, Essi Isaac Didi1, Oluchi Mildred Ndudim2, Anthony Ike Wegbom2, Salome Amarachi Ike-Wegbom2
1Department of Mathematics, Rivers State University, Port Harcourt, Port Harcourt, Nigeria
2Department of Public Health Sciences, College of Medical Sciences, Rivers State University, Port Harcourt, Nigeria
Correspondence to: Anthony Ike Wegbom, Department of Public Health Sciences, College of Medical Sciences, Rivers State University, Port Harcourt, Nigeria.
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Copyright © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Scientific & Academic Publishing.
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Teenage pregnancy remains a major public health and socio-economic challenge in Nigeria, with persistent inequalities across socio-demographic groups and regions. This study assessed the prevalence, socioeconomic distribution, and determinants of teenage pregnancy between 2013 and 2018, focusing on rural–urban and regional disparities. The study employed a cross-sectional analytical design using nationally representative data from the 2013 and 2018 Nigeria Demographic Health Survey. The study population comprised adolescent girls aged 15–19 years. Data from 16,328 female adolescents aged 15–19 years were drawn from the 2013 and 2018 NDHS. The Erreygers normalized concentration index (ECI) and concentration curves were used to quantify and visualize the magnitude of geographical inequality in teenage pregnancy. Decomposition analysis following Wagstaff et al. (2003) and Erreygers (2009) was conducted to identify factors contributing to the observed inequalities. All analyses were weighted using NDHS sampling weights to ensure national representativeness. The findings showed a consistent pro-poor concentration of teenage pregnancy across both survey years, with higher prevalence among adolescents in poorer households and rural areas. Geographical analysis showed pronounced regional disparities, with the North-West and North-East regions recording the highest rates of teenage pregnancy, while the South-West exhibited the lowest. Decomposition results indicated that educational attainment, household wealth, and marital status were the dominant contributors to the observed geographical and socioeconomic inequalities. Although the magnitude of inequality slightly declined between 2013 and 2018, disparities remained substantial. The study highlights persistent geographical and socioeconomic inequalities in teenage pregnancy in Nigeria, predominantly disadvantaging adolescents in poor and rural communities. Targeted interventions aimed at improving girls’ education, economic empowerment, and access to adolescent-friendly reproductive health services are essential to reduce these disparities and achieve equitable reproductive health outcomes across regions.
Keywords: Teenage Pregnancy, Geographical Inequalities, Reproductive Health, Decomposition analysis, Contraceptive use
Cite this paper: Loveday Acheseinimie Acheseinimie, Essi Isaac Didi, Oluchi Mildred Ndudim, Anthony Ike Wegbom, Salome Amarachi Ike-Wegbom, Geographical Inequalities in Teenage Pregnancy in Nigeria: Evidence from the Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey, International Journal of Statistics and Applications, Vol. 15 No. 2, 2025, pp. 29-39. doi: 10.5923/j.statistics.20251502.01.
![]() | Figure 1. Conceptual framework. Source: Author's illustration based on literature review |
Where:
= mean of y.
= health outcome for individual i.
= fractional rank of individual iii in the socioeconomic distribution.
Where:
is the average health variable. C is the standard concentration index. Also, a, and b are the minimum and maximum bounds of the variable (for proportions, a=0, b=1).
Where:
is the health outcome for individual i.
are the k explanatory variables.
are the coefficients from regression.
is the error term.Also, the concentration index for y (C y) can be expressed as:
Where:
is the mean of 
is the mean of y.
is the concentration index for 
is the generalized concentration index of the residual.For the ENCI, the decomposition applies as:
. The contribution of each determinant k to the ENCI is:
The dataset was weighted using the sampling weight provided in the NDHS to obtain estimates that are representative of all teenagers in Nigeria. Data analysis was conducted using Stata version 17.0, applying appropriate statistical techniques to examine the extent and determinants of inequality in teenage pregnancy. Descriptive statistics such as frequencies and percentages were first generated to summarize the characteristics of respondents and to describe the distribution of teenage pregnancy across key socioeconomic and demographic groups.To measure and visualize inequality, concentration indices and concentration curves were computed using the conindex command in Stata. The analysis employed the Erreygers normalized concentration index to account for the binary nature of the outcome variable. Furthermore, the decomposition of the concentration index was carried out following the approaches proposed by Wagstaff et al. (2003) and Erreygers (2009).
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![]() | Figure 2. Concentration curve for teenage pregnancy by place of residence |
![]() | Figure 3. Concentration curve for teenage pregnancy by region of residence |
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