Software Engineering

p-ISSN: 2162-934X    e-ISSN: 2162-8408

2012;  2(1): 7-13

doi: 10.5923/j.se.20120201.02

Towards the Development of K-Map Model in Visualizing the Dengue Hotspot Using Venn Diagram and AHP Technique

Az-Azira Abdul Aziz , Rusli Abdullah, Hamidah Ibrahim

Faculty Science Computer and Information Technology, University Putra Malaysia, Serdang Selangor, Malaysia

Correspondence to: Az-Azira Abdul Aziz , Faculty Science Computer and Information Technology, University Putra Malaysia, Serdang Selangor, Malaysia.

Email:

Copyright © 2012 Scientific & Academic Publishing. All Rights Reserved.

Abstract

This study was performed as a formulation process for the K-Map model development in order to visualize the dengue hotspot. Purpose of this study is to find the appropriate technique on knowledge visualization and also to identify the contributing parameters for the dengue outbreak. Methodology that has been used is by analysing the literature review from empirical paper and the priority level of parameter was determined by using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique. Result from this study shows that Venn diagram is one of the technique that can be used to visualize the dengue hotspot while the environmental parameter is one of the contributing factors in dengue transmission and distribution. Ten environmental parameters that are land use, housing types, Elevation, Land Surface Temperature (LST), Soil Moisture (Wetness), Greenness (Vegetated and Non-vegetated), Population Density, rainfall, temperature and humidity have been identified. As a conclusion, climate change impact is one of the environmental parameter, which influences the trend of dengue transmission and distribution. The impact of climate change on the transmission patterns of dengue diseases can be both direct and indirect. A direct impact describes how the changes in precipitation and temperature trend can influence the trend of the dengue transmission and distribution pattern. Instead indirect impact describe how the factors such as human population dynamics and their effects on exposure risk, changes in vegetation, hydrology and other landscape features can influence the trend of dengue transmission and distribution pattern.

Keywords: Literature Review, Environmental Parameter, Knowledge Map, Knowledge Visualization and Dengue Hotspot

1. Introduction

K-Map today has ever expanding application in science, education, engineering and environmental health especially in disease phenomena like dengue. As we know dengue is a dangerous infectious disease, which could bring mortality, and until today there are no medicine or antidote to cure it. Although the authorities have adopted various preventive measures, dengue fever cases still rises from year to year. This scenario requires a more effective monitoring system, such as a schematic control activity of dengue, in high- risk places of dengue fever occurrence. One of the most important information that can be used in controlling dengue is a Dengue Hotspot Map. This map should be produced quickly in order to take immediate action to control dengue from spreading. Ministry Of health (MOH) Malaysia in their Strategic Plan 2006-2010 also needs a Dengue Hotspot to be produced frequently for the purpose of notification to public for awareness and decision making process. Any delay in notification will increase the risk of dengue transmission in the locality of the residence.
Yasin and Egbu[27] in their study has revealed that the main benefits of K-Map in evaluating facilities performance are: improvements in decision making process, problems identification and problem solving by providing quick access to critical information, knowledge gaps and island of expertise. Because the urgency of the dengue hotspot information and also the advantage that K-Map has, there is a great need to develop new model using K-Map in order to expedite the process of getting the information.
K-Map is one of the important processes in Knowledge Management (KM). It is a user interface element similar to a graphical organizer, which displays connections between data by a series of shapes (or images) representing ideas and arrows representing relations between them. It is a form of knowledge visualization and is also known as a Concept Map (CM). CM is a general method; it is particularly useful for helping social researchers and research teams develop and detail ideas for research. Essentially, CM is a structured process, focused on a topic or construct of interest, involving input from one or more participants, that produces an interpretable pictorial view of their ideas and concepts and how these are interrelated. It is a diagram showing the relationship among the concepts. They are graphical tool for organizing and representing knowledge (wikipedia). CM is not only a powerful tool for capturing, representing, and archiving knowledge of individuals, but also a powerful tool to create new knowledge.
The main advantage of K-Map is to improve decision-making and problem solving because it provides applicable information. From the K-Map it is easy to find the key sources of knowledge creation and moreover can quickly access to critical information. Beside that, by using the K-Map it encourage reuse of information and prevent reinvention of knowledge.
Analysis from the literature review has been done to find out the appropriate technique that can be used to develop the K-Map model. In formulation process, there seven dengue parameters that have a role in influencing the trend of the dengue transmission and the pattern of the dengue distribution has been identified. It is important to prioritise the parameters before they can be used as input to the model. In many situations it is extremely difficult to assign relative weights to the different criteria involved in making a decision on determination of priority level for each dengue parameter. Therefore it is necessary to adopt a technique that allows an estimation of the weights. One such technique is the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP).

2. Literature Review

Most previous work focuses on K-Map and knowledge visualization technique. K-Map is defined as the process, methods and tools for analysing knowledge areas in order to discover features or meaning and to visualize them in a comprehensive, transparent form such that the business-relevant features are clearly highlighted[22]. Previous research[10] have found that capturing and representing knowledge is critical in KM, so they was using K-Map as a tool for representing knowledge and also suggest a roadmap for building the K-Map.
Stanford[20] define it as follows: “K-Map quite simply is any visualization of knowledge beyond textual for the purpose of eliciting, codifying, sharing, using, and expanding knowledge”. Graphic symbols play a key role in each K-Map; their positions and spatial relationships are mostly expressed with the use of arcs or edges. The K-Map must show a progression of ideas with relationships beyond their being just spatial. K-Map includes conceptual relationships, such as chronological, hierarchical, associative, causal, logical and evaluative[20]. Each knowledge map as a special type of reality model, for instance, a reality image, simplifies the visualization of reality.
Knowledge Visualization examines the use of visual representations to improve the transfer and creation of knowledge between at least two people[1-3]. Knowledge Visualization thus designates all graphic means that can be used to construct and convey complex insights. Beyond the mere transport of facts, Knowledge Visualization aims to transfer insights, experiences, attitudes, values, expectations, perspectives, opinions, and predictions. And this in a way that enables someone else to re-construct, remember, and apply this knowledge correctly. According to[2] six formats can be distinguished in Knowledge Visualization: Heuristic Sketches, Conceptual Diagrams, Visual Metaphors, Knowledge Animations, Knowledge Maps, Domain Structures.
There are few techniques in knowledge visualization can be applied in KM such as Decision Tree, Venn Diagram, Chart, Matrix and so on. Table 1 shows a few techniques in knowledge visualization that has been applied by previous researchers. Kandogan[9] in their study on Multi- dimensional Visualization Technique with Uniform Treatment Dimensions was used Star Coordinates to support users in early stages of their visual thinking activities. It uses simply points to represent data, treating each dimension uniformly at the cost of coarse representation. Faisal[5] was used Self Organizing Map (SOM) technique in their study for visualizing, understanding and exploring the significant of Bio-impedance Analysis parameters to differentiate between the dengue patient and the healthy patient.
Table 1. Knowledge Visualization technique from literature review
AuthorFindingTechnique
Humphrey[7]Representing the results of machine learningDecision Tree
Nhan[13]Show the overlap in major clinical features among 631 children with confirmed dengue infectionVenn diagram
Faisal[5]SOM was used for visualizing, understanding and exploring the significant of Bio-impedance Analysis parameters to differentiate between the dengue patient and the healthy patientSelf Organizing Map (SOM)
Umor[22]Visualize Dengue Risk MapGIS & Remote Sensing Technique
Eser Kandogan[9]Present to support users in early stage of their visual thinking activitiesStar Coordinates
Study by[7] Decision Tree technique has been used for representing the result of machine learning. While[13] was applied Venn diagram in order to showing the overlap in major clinical features among 631 children with confirmed dengue infection (dengue fever and dengue hemorrhagic fever) in Vietnam. Consequently, Venn Diagram Technique (VDT) is most appropriate techniques due to provide a possible logical relationship between all ten dengue parameters in this study. In other hand the VDT is very easy to understand and to use[17].
Venn diagram (VD) is one of the techniques that can be used to visualize the dengue hotspot. With this technique will show the logical relationship between all the identified parameters. The principle of VD is that classes[or sets] be represented by regions in such relation to one another that all the possible logical relations of these classes can be indicated in the same diagram. The interior of the circle symbolically represents the elements of the set, while the exterior represents elements, which are not members of the sets. The classes or sets are comprised of the all dengue parameters and one circle will represent one parameter. VD normally comprises overlapping circles and the overlapping area or intersection will represent the similarities between the parameters. The Similarities between the parameters will be calculated by using the mode function in statistical analysis.
[28] In their study was using GIS and AHP technique for land use suitability analysis. By using AHP technique, it will overcome the issue of inconsistency in expert opinion when trying to judge and assign relative importance to each of many criteria considered in a suitability analysis.
Several studies before this have noted that the environmental parameter is one of the contributing factors in dengue transmission and distribution. Climate change impact is one of the environmental parameter, which influences the trend of dengue transmission and distribution.
According to[15] Mosquito-borne disease transmission is closely related to climate for a number of reasons: standing water after periods of rain encourages the breeding of mosquitoes; a warm ambient temperature is crucial to the mosquito’s life and gonotrophic cycle and virus replication. The tropical climate as well as the tropical rainforest coverage in Malaysia have favourable impact on the year-round transmission of dengue fever through the provision of breeding sites and habitat for the vector. However, other environmental and socio-economic factors have complicated the direct relationship between rainfall and dengue fever transmission. Continuous rain, for example, may flush out larvae pools, which in turn leads to a temporary reduction of vector populations[19]. In their study they also believed that the daily scale study has been able to capture the correlation more accurately by taking daily variations into consideration compared to the weekly and monthly aggregated studies.
[16] Said that the development of a disease early warning system cannot be based on climate forecasts alone, but must be developed with the active participation of the public health community. The local and global climate changes will have a possibility of influencing the trend of vector-borne disease transmission. The specific climatic variables that have been identified as having an influence on the distribution and incidence of vector-borne diseases are temperature, rainfall patterns and extreme weather events.
Others various environmental elements such as elevation, temperature, rainfall, and humidity directly influences the presence, development, activity and longevity of pathogens, vectors, zoonotic reservoirs of infection and their interaction with humans[12]. Finding by[6] shows that the baseline distribution of dengue is well predicted on the basis of reported vapour pressure is biologically credible. Humidity, defined as vapour pressure or specific humidity, is high only where rainfall and temperatures are high, and these are conditions that are conducive to breeding and survival of vector populations, and rapid replication of the virus[4].

3. Methodology

In order to develop the K-Map model in visualizing the case of hotspot in dengue, we are standing by introducing the following steps:
- Analysis the Literature Review from Empirical Paper
Analysis the literature review from empirical paper is very important to study the problem and find out the appropriate technique that can be used to develop the K-Map model. In order to develop the model there is a need to identify the parameter that contribute to dengue outbreak. From the literature, it was found that the environmental parameter is one of the contributing factors in dengue transmission and distribution. Climate change impact is one of the environmental parameter, which influences the trend of dengue transmission and distribution. The impact of climate change on the transmission patterns of these diseases can be both direct and indirect. A direct impact describes how the changes in precipitation and temperature trend can influence the trend of the dengue transmission and distribution pattern. There are several examples of environment factors which give an indirect impact to the trend of dengue transmission and distribution pattern such as human population dynamics and their effects on exposure risk, changes in vegetation, hydrology and other landscape features.
- Identification of Parameters
Process identification of parameters is very important in order to develop the model of K-Map. All the parameters that might contribute to dengue outbreak will be consider in selecting the appropriate parameter. The parameters selected in this study are based on the previous finding by others researcher that might suggest several environmental parameters that which they found might contribute to the dengue occurrence. From the literature review (empirical paper) as well as expert opinion, it was found that the lists of environmental parameters that contribute to dengue outbreak are as land use, housing types, land surface temperature, soil moisture, greenness and elevation. Others parameter that relate to climate change such as rainfall, temperature and humidity were also been selected because it has directly influences the presence, development, activity and longevity of pathogens and vectors. Beside that, population density also been identified as having an influence on dengue transmission and distribution.
- Determine Priority Level of Parameters
Subsequently, priority level of the identified parameters has been determined in order to study the most significant parameters as well as to visualize their relationship. This priority level has been determined based on their intensity level of influences to dengue outbreak. The process for determines priority level of parameters is performing in three stages: Ranking of parameters, Classification of parameters and Risk score of parameters. In the ranking stage, the percentage of all the identified parameters were determine due to their intensity level of influences to the dengue outbreak. The highest percentage was given to the parameter that is the most significant influence to the outbreak problem and instead. The next stage is the classification process of each parameter to their detail attribute and the last stage is the process of determination the risk score value for each attribute.
Another technique that been used in this study to determined the priority level of parameter is Analytical Hierarchy process (AHP) technique. AHP is a structured technique for organizing and analyzing complex decisions and was developed by[18]. This technique is based on mathematics and psychology. It can helps decision makers find one that best suits their goal and their understanding of the problem. It provides a comprehensive and rational framework for structuring a decision problem, for representing and quantifying its elements, for relating those elements to overall goals, and for evaluating alternative solutions.
Even though AHP is a best technique to determine the priority level of dengue parameter but it is important make a comparison between this technique and previous research to ensure that level of priority that has been given is logic and correct.
- Formulation a New K-Map Model
The Last step is to formulate a new K-Map model. As mention before in Section 2.0, VD is one of the technique that can be used to develop a new K-Map model and to visualize the level of dengue in term of its seriousness or in other word is called dengue hotspot. Due to that, the technique of VD will be applied for this study in order to develop the new model. Using the ten environmental parameters that has been identified before will develop this new model and this developed model can be used as a prototype by health agency and the local authorities to enhance the effectiveness of dengue surveillance and mitigation programmed which can aid in decision-making process.
Table 2. List of identify parameters from literature review
AuthorFindingParameter
Umor[22]Residential area, followed by construction site, industrial and commercial area.Land use
Umor[22]Mix houses and interconnection houses, followed by the independent houses and commercial areas.Housing Types
Ang Kim Teng and Satwant Singh (2001) in the Dengue Bulletin Vol 25 report from the Ministry of Health (MOH) MalaysiaFactories, abandoned housing projects and construction sites followed by vacant plots of land, garbage dump sites, offices, schools and houses/shops.Housing Types
Alpana Bohra and Haja Andrianasolo, 2001Distances between houses - densely packed housing areas,Housing pattern- interconnection house.Housing Types
Umor[22]Case reduce- high LST (no or very little rainfall)Lands surface temperature
PAHO[14]Ideal temperature conditions for dengue is 15-40 0CLands surface temperature
Tran, 2005Highest LST- industrial areas, commercial centre and residential areaLowest LST – vegetation & water bodies.Lands surface temperature
Umor[22]More cases – occur in low land areas compared to the high land areasDigital Elevation Model
PAHO[14]Ideal condition for dengue is altitude 2,200m for AmericasDigital Elevation Model
Umor[22]Highest incident - low wetness and medium wetness (areas which have buildings with some vegetation.Soil Moisture (Wetness)
Umor[22]Highest incident - residential areas with wooded areas (small quantity of vegetation in residential area).Greenness (Vegetation)
Umor[22]Highest incident -more dense population area.Population Density
WHO[23]High population density are - exposed to the outbreak,)Population Density
Umor[22]High cases - during the raining season (Dec-Jan)Case increase- after having a very high period of rainfall with high temperatureRainfall with very high temperature -good time for the vector to breed.Rainfall
Patz[15]Mosquito-borne disease -climate (breeding of mosquitoes)-warm ambient temperature (mosquito’s life gonotrophic cycle and virus replication)The tropical climate-breeding sites and habitat for the vectorRainfall
Seng, Chong & Moore[18]Continuous rain- flush out larvae poolsRainfall
Watson[16]Development of a disease early warning system – need participation of the public health community.Climate changes (temperature, rainfall patterns and extreme weather events) at local and global - trend of vector-borne disease transmissionTemperature
Hales[6]Vapour pressure is biologically credible -baseline distribution of dengueHumidity
Focks[4]Humidity (vapour pressure) - is high only where rainfall and temperatures are highHumidity

4. Results and Discussion

Result from the analysis of empirical paper as well as the expert opinion, it was helped us to identify and classify the priority level of dengue parameters that can be used to develop the K-Map model as shown in Table 2 and Figure 1. Most of previous study have been discussed about the main drivers for dengue outbreak encompasses land use, housing types, land surface temperature, digital elevation model (DEM), soil moisture (wetness), greenness (vegetation), population density, rainfall, temperature and humidity.
Many studies before this have noted that the environmental parameter is one of the contributing factors in dengue transmission and distribution. Climate change impact is one of the environmental parameter, which influences the trend of dengue transmission and distribution. The impact of climate change on the transmission patterns of these diseases can be both direct and indirect. A direct impact describes how the changes in precipitation and temperature trend can influence the trend of the dengue transmission and distribution pattern. There are several examples of environment factors which give an indirect impact to the trend of dengue transmission and distribution pattern such as human population dynamics and their effects on exposure risk, changes in vegetation, hydrology and other landscape features.
Subsequently, priority level of the parameters has been determined in order to study the most significant parameters as well as to visualize their relationship. However, the main reference of priority level has been determined based on study by[23]. In their study, all the identified parameters were been tested with the dengue case distribution to measure their significant relationship between the trends of case distribution with the environmental condition. This test is significant as it can be used to measure the contribution of the parameters to the dengue transmission and distribution pattern. It is important to check the significant correlation for each parameters, there for the inputs parameters that been selected are more valuable.
Figure 1. System Context Diagram
The percentage fraction of identified parameters with regard their priority level by using empirical paper and AHP technique is shown in Table 3. From empirical paper and also AHP technique that was performed, the results showed percentage fraction that was obtained is quite similar to every parameter. Then, parameters were been classified to their detail attribute based on the risk score. The risk score for each parameter has been determined by[23] based on GIS analysis result. The risk score value for that analysis had been ranked as 1 for ‘very low’, 2 for ‘low’, 3 refers to ‘medium’, 4 as ‘high’ and 5 for ‘very high’. This ranking was given due to the intensity level of influences to the outbreak. The highest value shows the most significant influence to the outbreak problem.
Table 3. The percentage fraction of dengue parameters
     

5.Conclusions

In conclusion, a process-based classification of K-Map is highly needed in order to develop application model. The classification of environmental parameters is required to develop model due to visualize dengue hotspot since it is one of the contributing factors in dengue transmission and distribution.
Housing types act as a major contributor; followed by land use type, land surface temperature, elevation, soil moisture, population density and greenness. However climate change factors including rainfall, temperature and humidity show less impact due to influence the dengue outbreak. Furthermore priority level is important due to check the significant correlation for each parameter. Therefore the inputs parameters that been selected are more valuable.
The AHP method commonly used in multi criteria decision-making exercise was found to be a useful method to determined the weights. Compared with other methods used to determining weights, the AHP method is superior because it can deal with inconsistent judgements provides a measure of the inconsistency of the judgement of the respondent.

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