Resources and Environment
p-ISSN: 2163-2618 e-ISSN: 2163-2634
2018; 8(2): 21-30
doi:10.5923/j.re.20180802.01

Santa Sarmin1, A. K. M. Nazrul Islam2
1Graduate Student, Master of Economics (Environmental Economics) Programme, Dhaka School of Economics (A Constituent Institution of the University of Dhaka), Dhaka, Bangladesh
2Associate Professor of Environmental Economics, Dhaka School of Economics (A Constituent Institution of the University of Dhaka), Dhaka, Bangladesh
Correspondence to: A. K. M. Nazrul Islam, Associate Professor of Environmental Economics, Dhaka School of Economics (A Constituent Institution of the University of Dhaka), Dhaka, Bangladesh.
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Water resource has been and will also be the most crucial asset for Bangladesh like many other countries, particularly for its agriculture sector. For the sake of maintaining sustainability, heavy dependency on groundwater is going to be a major issue of concern for the country. The groundwater level in many areas shows sharp decreasing trends. This is expected to create ecological imbalance and also increase cost of agricultural production. Against this backdrop, this paper tries to assess the feasibility of a proposed excavation project to be implemented in Beel Jaleshswar, one of the largest wetlands in Jessore district of Bangladesh, to reserve surface water for irrigation and other major uses. To measure economic viability of the proposed project, this paper estimates expected costs and benefits of the project. For this purpose, data have been collected from 95 households randomly selected from the study area. The findings suggest that direct economic benefit from the proposed project is estimated to be in the tune of BDT 438.32 million annually from fish and snail catch only, while the net benefits from irrigation based on three alternative scenarios are also found to be economically highly viable.
Keywords: Groundwater, Surface Water, Wetlands, Excavation, Nature Based Solution, Social Cost Benefit Analysis
Cite this paper: Santa Sarmin, A. K. M. Nazrul Islam, Economic Viability of Using State-owned Wetlands as Water Reservoirs for Irrigation: A Case Study from Bangladesh, Resources and Environment, Vol. 8 No. 2, 2018, pp. 21-30. doi: 10.5923/j.re.20180802.01.
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Where, p = 0.5q = 0.5z = Standardized normal distribution table (95% confidence level with z value of 1.96)e = Admissible error level (10% level of error i.e. e = 0.1)n0 = Rough sample sizen = Finite population correlation (FPC)N = Total population (5,980 Households) Methods of Data CollectionPrimary data have been collected from the study area based on a questionnaire survey. Further, focus group discussions (FGDs) and key informant interviews (KIIs) are also conducted on direct users of the wetlands and other important stakeholders or experts to get supplementary information on the proposed excavation project. Secondary data have been accumulated from related organizations like BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics) and BADC (Bangladesh Agricultural Development Corporation) through literature review.Methods of Data AnalysisDescriptive Analytical ToolThe demographic features of the respondents, groundwater table and irrigation costs have been analyzed using measures of central tendency and measures of dispersion along with graphical presentations. Statistical ModelTo show the past trend of groundwater table and forecast future condition, this study has used Microsoft Excel for time series data analysis. To evaluate the weight of groundwater irrigation cost on crop profitability, the following multivariate linear regression model is used:Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β4X4 + β5X5 + β6X6 + β7X7 + β8X8 + eWhere,Y = Profit per acre (BDT);X5 = Fertilizer cost (BDT);β0 = Intercept term;X6 = Pesticide cost (BDT);X1 = Land size (acre);X7 = Output (Maund);X2 = Labor cost (BDT);X8 = Byproduct (BDT);X3 = Seed cost (BDT);e = Stochastic error term.X4 = Irrigation cost (BDT);All explanatory variables, except for farm size are divided by land size to place them on per acre basis. The multivariate linear regression model using a log-log functional form is then reconstructed and analyzed by using a ordinary least square (OLS) method with the help of STATA 12.0. The simple linear regression model reconstructed is as follows:lnY = β0 + β1lnX1 + β2lnX2 + β3lnX3 + β4lnX4 + β5lnX5 + β6lnX6 + β7lnX7 + β8lnX8 +eIndicatorsFarmer’s Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR): In addition, an indicator of farmers benefit cost ratio can be calculated here based on the following equation. This indicator is used in World Bank (2000) as agricultural performance indicator:
Cost-Benefit AnalysisThe economic viability of the proposed project has been scrutinized by employing a Social Cost Benefit Analysis (SCBA). The possible direct economic benefits and costs of the wetland excavation and surface water irrigation project are calculated as below. There are two tools that have been used in this research paper to reach the conclusion.Benefit (B) = Value of reserved water for irrigation Cost (C) = Excavation cost of wetland+ Re-excavation cost + Irrigation infrastructure + Maintenance cost Net Benefit: Net Benefit = Benefit (B) – Cost (C); If (B-C) is positive, the project is economically viable.Net Present Value (NPV): Net present values of the different scenarios (table 3.2) of the project are calculated to get the discounted value of the benefit of the proposed project.
Here, C0 = Initial cash outflow (Excavation cost of wetland and Irrigation infrastructure)Bi = Benefit in year i (Value of reserved water for irrigation)Ci = Cost in year i (Maintenance cost and Re-excavation cost)r = Social discount rate = 10%Rationale for Social Discount Rate: For a private investment project, the rate of discount in NPV calculation is influenced by the rate of interest that could be obtained on the investment. However, in the case of public-owned projects, it is more appropriate to use a social rate of discount (WRC, 2010). By employing a Monte Carlo Simulation, Jalil (2010) concluded that 9-11% should be used as optimal social discount rate for various long term projects in Bangladesh. The discount rate is similar to the ones used by Government of Pakistan, India and China. Besides, a discount rate of 12 percent is assumed in “Economic Modeling of Climate Change Adaptation: Needs for Physical Infrastructures in Bangladesh” (MoEF, 2008). As per 2016, a social discount rate of 10 percent is assumed to calculate NPV of the Beel Jaleshwar excavation and surface water irrigation project.![]() | Figure 4.1. Groundwater Level in Beel Jaleshwar Area |
![]() | Figure 4.2. Irrigated Area under Groundwater and Surface Water in Jessore (in ‘000 acres) |
![]() | Figure 4.3. Irrigation under Different Means in 2012-13 |
![]() | Figure 4.4. Annual Fish Production from Beel Fisheries in Jessore |
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Direct Economic Benefits from Beel JaleshwarThe duration for fishing and snail catch in a year is 7 months including rainy season namely June to December. On an average a household collects 278.9 kg of fish and 1,466.32 kg of snail per year which leads to a total benefit of BDT 52,638. Benefit from fish catch (BDT 39,790) is greater than that of snail catch (BDT 12,848). From this information, total benefit from the beel of its dependent people can be calculated as BDT 314.77 million. This benefit is shared between 75.6 percent from fish catch and 24.4 percent from snail collection. The fish cultivation is mostly occurred in the government-owned lands in the beel along with the private lands. This type of farming is done by digging large ponds into the deep areas. On average one acre of land provides BDT 2.5 lakh or BDT 0.25 million of net benefit. Thus, only from the government owned 494.211 acres the total annual benefit is calculated as BDT 123.55 million. Table 4.10 depicts the total view of the direct benefits. The direct benefit from the beel of its dependent people can be calculated as BDT 438.32 million annually.
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