Public Health Research
p-ISSN: 2167-7263 e-ISSN: 2167-7247
2015; 5(4): 95-102
doi:10.5923/j.phr.20150504.03
Md. Kamal Hossain1, Md. Rafiqul Islam2, Md. Nuruzzaman Khan3, Md. Raihan Ali3
1Department of Population Science and Human Resource Development, University of Rajshahi
2Department of Population Science and Human Resource Development, University of Rajshahi, Bangladesh
3Department of Population Science and Human Resource Development, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
Correspondence to: Md. Rafiqul Islam, Department of Population Science and Human Resource Development, University of Rajshahi, Bangladesh.
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Background: Antenatal care (ANC) is essential for both mother and child health well-being. The risk of maternal mortality and morbidity as well as neonatal deaths can be reduced substantially through regular and proper antenatal care taken and delivery under safe and hygienic conditions. An attempt has been made to disclose how many times antenatal care (ANC) was taken by the pregnant mother and to find out the contribution of socio-demographic factors on ANC. Moreover, an effort is concentrated to find out a functional relationship between number of visits of ANC and the respondents.Data and methods: Data and necessary information of 4,921 reproductive women were obtained from the Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS) 2007. Multiple classification analysis (MCA) was used to identify the most important determinants of number of antenatal visit. Furthermore, negative exponential model was also employed here.Results: The results reveal that majority (37.83%) women have not taken any ANC during pregnancy and 15.18%, 12.68%, 11.22% and 6.24%, pregnant women have taken 1, 2, 3 and 4 times of ANC respectively. The result also reveal that only 1.67% pregnant women have taken 10 and above times ANC. MCA results showed that living condition, living place during pregnancy and TT injection before birth have been found to be the first, second and third contributing factors on number of ANC of pregnant mother. The grand mean of MCA result is 3.59 which indicate insufficient dose of ANC of pregnant mothers. Moreover, it is found that distribution of the respondents due to number of visits of ANC follows modified negative exponential model.Conclusions: This study demonstrates the low ANC service utilization. The utilization of the ANC service was influenced by various socio-demographic and health related factors. Hence there is a need to increase the availability and accessibility of health services to all women. Women’s overall status (education, living condition, living place during pregnancy and preceding birth interval) need to be considered.
Keywords: Antenatal care, Pregnant women, Multiple classification analysis (MCA), Modified negative exponential model, Cross validity prediction power (CVPP), F-test
Cite this paper: Md. Kamal Hossain, Md. Rafiqul Islam, Md. Nuruzzaman Khan, Md. Raihan Ali, Contribution of Socio-Demographic Factors on Antenatal Care in Bangladesh: Modeling Approach, Public Health Research, Vol. 5 No. 4, 2015, pp. 95-102. doi: 10.5923/j.phr.20150504.03.
y = c + exp(a-b*x) + u.where, x is the number of visits of ANC; y is the respondents; a. b. c are parameters but c is the modified term of the model and u is the disturbance term of the model. The software STATISTICA was used to fit the mathematical model.![]() | Figure 1. The graph of observed and fitted distribution of respondents due to number of visits of ANC |
, is applied. Here
(Stevens, 1996)where, n is the number of cases, k is the number of predictors in the model and the cross validated R is the correlation between observed and predicted values of the dependent variable. The shrinkage coefficient of the model is the positive value of (
- R2); where
is CVPP and R2 is the coefficient of determination of the model. 1-shrinkage is the stability of R2 of the model. The information on model fittings and estimated CVPP have been demonstrated in the result section. This technique was also used as model validation technique (Islam et al., 2004; Islam, 2004, 2005a; 2005b; 2007a, 2007b; 2008; 2011, 2012a; 2012b; 2013; Islam & Hossain, 2013a; 2013b, 2014a, 2014b; Hossain & Islam, 2013; Islam et al., 2013; 2014; Islam & Hoque, 2015).
With (k-1, n-k) degrees of freedom and k = the number of parameters is to be estimated, n = the number of cases and R2 is the coefficient of determination of the model.
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) have also presented in this table. About 13.1% (
= 0.131) variation is explained by this model. The grand mean is 3.59. Associated factors of the number of visits of ANC services were determined through the MCA presented in Table 2. According to this table respondents living condition, living place during pregnancy, taken TT injection before birth, preceding birth interval, respondent education, antenatal care taken by the nurse/midwife, husband occupation, antenatal care taken by the doctor, respondent’s age at first marriage, antenatal care taken by the family welfare visitor have strongest influential factor successively for explaining the variation on number of antenatal care taken during pregnancy.
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with coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.95765, CVPP = 0.94225, shrinkage coefficient = 0.0154 and stability of R2 = 0.9846.From these statistics it is found that the fitted model is highly cross validated and the shrinkage is also very small. Moreover, it is observed that all the parameters of the fitted model are statistically significant with large proportion of variation explained and the proportion of variation is more than 95%. And the stability of the model is more than 94%. The stability of
of this model is also more than 99%. Moreover, calculated F-test is 90.45 with (2, 8) degrees of freedom but its tabulated value is only 8.65 at 1% level of significance. Therefore, from these statistics it is found that fitted model is highly statistically significant. Hence, the fit of the model is very well.